Nov. 13th, 2005

baloonworld: (Default)
I've been reading "The clash of civilizations and the remaking of the world order" Its an interesting book; it was written in response to the end of the cold war, trying to come up with a simplified model for how international relations would work now that every confrontation was not polarized between the Comunist Bloc and the Free World (Elmyra's marginal notes reveal that they were actually polerized between the Free World and the Capitalist Dominion).

The author considered various models, and one of the ones he rejected out of hand was world peace and international harmony, melodramatically described as "the end of history". He attempted to support completely discarding this model by saying that the word "genocide" was used far more often in the five years since the Berlin wall came down than at any time during the cold war.

This seemed like shit evidence to me. Reported crime figures are different from the amount that actually happens.
So I went looking for analysis of the numbers intensity and duration of armed conflicts. I found "the first human security report"
http://www.humansecurityreport.info/index.php?option=content&task=view&id=24&Itemid=59
I'll quote the preamble, because its the best news thing I've read, and I think everyone should read it. Maybe it could become a livejournal meme. Yeah.

Copy and paste this text and the following quote to your journal:

"The first Human Security Report documents a dramatic, but largely unknown, decline in the number of wars, genocides and human rights abuse over the past decade. Published by Oxford University Press, the Report argues that the single most compelling explanation for these changes is found in the unprecedented upsurge of international activism, spearheaded by the UN, which took place in the wake of the Cold War." -Preamble to the first human security report.


PS Livejournal spell checker does not have a plural version of genocide. I find this plesently optomistic.

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